2024 College Football Shocks: Which Top Teams Might Crash and Burn?
There are 18 FBS teams whose TRACR projections are at least 1.5 wins better than where betting markets place them, while 17 teams are at least 1.5 wins worse according to TRACR.
TRACR uses game data from the previous season and then blends in adjustments for prep recruiting and transfer portal activity in the offseason. It creates a rating for each team and applies it to that team’s schedule, offering one more data point in a sea of preseason projections.
Here are the 17 teams that the model expects to underperform most sharply relative to the betting consensus:
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