2025 NBA Playoffs Showdowns: Can the Underdog Upset in Pacers-Cavaliers Game 1 and Warriors-Rockets Game 7?

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I’ll say some stuff I don’t even believe anymore, e.g., the sportsbooks know everything and sharp vs. sucker money. They (the sportsbooks) are begging you to take Golden State +2.5 and Houston is the sharp play. The Rockets are unproven and would have to come back from a 3-1 series deficit, while the Dubs have champions and Hall of Famers. 

Yet, Houston was a -2 home favorite in Game 1 and -2.5 in Game 7. This tells us the market is changing its opinion about the Rockets, and I have too. They are winning three of the “four factors” (shooting, rebounding, and free-throw margin) and out-scoring the Warriors 106.5-104.2 in points per game. Houston waxed Golden State in Games 5 and 6. 

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