2025 NCAA Tournament Shockers: Which Underdog Could Upend March Madness?

Remember that 2011 Big East season? The winner of that conference tournament, Connecticut (cardiac Kemba!), went on to win it all.

History may repeat itself with Florida.

West Region: Probability of Making the Final Four

1. Florida (34.8%)
2. St. John’s (16.1%)
3. Texas Tech (12.5%)
4. Maryland (11.6%)
5. Missouri (6.2%)
6. Kansas (5.1%)
7. UConn (3.4%)
8. Colorado State (2.7%)
9. Arkansas (2.2%)
10. Oklahoma (2.0%)
11. Memphis (1.9%)
12. Drake (0.9%)
13. Grand Canyon (0.5%)
14. Omaha (0.1%)
15. UNCW (0.1%)
16. Norfolk State (<0.1%)

A (Somewhat) Surprising Bubble

While the SEC had a record 14 teams make the NCAA Tournament, TRACR was surprised about one of the selections. That was Texas, which enters the Big Dance with a 19-15 record after going 6-12 in conference play.

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