2026 NCAA Tournament Shockers: Which Underdog Could Upset the Elite March Madness Favorites?
Houston will be looking to avenge last year’s heartbreaking loss in the title game and is led by senior guard Emanuel Sharp, who’s ninth the nation’s tight DRIP rankings.
Probability of Making Sweet 16, Final Four
- 1. Florida: 71.8% Sweet 16, 28.4% Final Four
- 2. Houston: 60.4%, 17.0%
- 3. Illinois: 64.3%, 21.2%
- 4. Nebraska: 42.1%, 7.7%
- 5. Vanderbilt: 48.3%, 11.4%
- 6. North Carolina: 22.6%, 3.5%
- 7. Saint Mary: 21.7%, 3.1%
- 8. Clemson: 11.7%, 1.2%
- 9. Iowa: 16.3%, 2.8%
- 10. Texas A&M: 16.5%, 2.3%
- 11. VCU: 11.4%, 1.0%
- 12. McNeese: 7.6%, 0.2%
- 13. Troy: 2.0%, <0.1%
- 14. Penn: 1.7%, <0.1%
- 15. Idaho: 1.5%, <0.1%
- 16. (First Four) Lehigh/Prairie View A&M (0.2%, <0.1%
Three Questions
Who Deserved to Be the Final No. 1 Seed?
After getting blown out by Vanderbilt in an SEC Tournament semifinal, Florida’s odds of getting a No. 1 seed appeared to be in jeopardy, but losses by UConn and Houston also that day helped the Gators maintain their spot. But who deserved the last 1-seed according to TRACR?
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