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NFL Week 7 Betting Frenzy: Insider Moves and Shocking Public Splits Revealed

NFL Week 7 Betting Frenzy: Insider Moves and Shocking Public Splits Revealed

Week 7 of the NFL season is officially here, and if you’re anything like me, you’re itching to dive into the betting action. This week’s slate of games is packed with intriguing matchups, and I’ve gathered the latest intel on where the public’s stacking their bets at BetMGM sportsbooks. But that’s not all—I’ve also touched base with several other books to uncover the sharp money flows, so you get a well-rounded picture of what might be moving the lines this weekend. Whether you’re chasing the big spreads or eyeing the underdog upsets, this rundown aims to give you an edge before kickoff. Ready to see who’s commanding the most attention and where the savvy wagers are landing? Let’s get into it. LEARN MORE

Week 7 of the NFL season has arrived, and it’s time to get those bets in.

We’ve compiled where the public is betting at BetMGM sportsbooks, along with some notable wagers, and asked around at several other books to find out where the sharp action has come in for this weekend’s games.

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[For all of our NFL betting content, be sure to check out our new betting hub right here.]

Week 7 odds

Sunday

9:30 a.m. ET

Los Angeles Rams (-3, 44.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars in London

1 p.m. ET

Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-12, 45.5)

New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears (-5, 46.5)

Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns (-2.5, 37.5)

New England Patriots (-7, 42.5) at Tennessee Titans

Philadelphia Eagles (-2, 44) at Minnesota Vikings

Carolina Panthers (-1, 42) at New York Jets

4 p.m. ET

New York Giants at Denver Broncos (-7, 40.5)

Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5, 48.5)

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Washington Commanders (-2, 55) at Dallas Cowboys

Green Bay Packers (-6.5, 45) at Arizona Cardinals

Sunday Night Football

Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers (-2, 47)

Monday

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions (-5.5, 52.5)

Houston Texans at Seattle Seahawks (-3, 41)

Bye-week teams: Bills, Ravens

Public betting splits

Here is where the betting public has landed on Week 7 games at BetMGM sportsbooks.

Five most-bet games (by total number of wagers)

  1. New England Patriots -7

  2. Detroit Lions -5.5

  3. Cleveland Browns -2.5

  4. Philadelphia Eagles -2

  5. New York Giants +7

Five most-bet games (by total dollars wagered)

  1. New England Patriots -7

  2. Detroit Lions -5.5

  3. Cleveland Browns -2.5

  4. Philadelphia Eagles -2

  5. Los Angeles Chargers -1.5

Most-bet totals (by total number of wagers)

  1. Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns Under 37.5

  2. Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys Over 55

  3. Los Angeles Rams at Jacksonville Jaguars Under 44.5

  4. Carolina Panthers at New York Jets Under 42

  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions Over 52.5

Most-bet underdogs to win (by total number of wagers)

  1. Las Vegas Raiders +525

  2. New York Giants +280

  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +200

  4. Jacksonville Jaguars +130

  5. Indianapolis Colts +110

From the bookmakers

“As Drake Maye continues to impress, bettors are taking notice. The Patriots are the most bet team to cover in Week 7 while bettors also believe in the Lions in primetime, the Browns cover against the Dolphins, and the Eagles to take care of business in Minnesota in what might be the best game this week.” — Christian Cipollini, BetMGM trading manager

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Eagles-Vikings

Joey Feazel, Caesars Sportsbook NFL trading lead: “The bye makes a big impact. If we look at the struggles of the Eagles, it’s on the offensive side of the ball and Vikings have a good defense. Eagles aren’t playing up to their potential, haven’t played a full game. We opened Eagles -2.5, now down to -1.5. Market still believes in the Vikings, despite offensive struggles. It’s actually been one of our lowest-bet games, two-way action on Vikings ML or Eagles spread. Little money towards the over.”

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Titans-Patriots

Feazel: “Opened at 6, now at a flat 7. I don’t see this heading much more towards Tennessee. We thought last week would be a let-down spot for the Patriots, but they got it done. It shows how good a coach Mike Vrabel is. Action-wise, seeing only New England money come in, not much on the total. People have been fading the Titans. I expect to see more Patriots money come in.”

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Colts-Chargers

Ethan Useloff, Fanatics Sportsbook trader: “Despite a rough stretch, including barely beating Miami on a walk-off field goal, getting out-played by Washington at home, and giving Jaxson Dart his first NFL victory, the Chargers remain slight favorites. We have very even numbers from customers on this game, and folks are split on whether Indy is deservingly the top seed in the AFC at the moment.”

Falcons-49ers

Useloff: “A fascinating SNF matchup as San Francisco looks to get Brock Purdy and George Kittle back under the lights. Their injury list appears to be a starting lineup, given both the quality and quantity of players listed. However, the line is moving towards Atlanta with their strong showing in primetime versus Buffalo. The line should remain in this vicinity should the 49ers get some of its players back, but Bijan Robinson and his Falcons will keep the bets rather even on both teams.”

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Feazel: “We opened 4.5, now down to 2. Falcons certainly looked impressive against the Bills. 49ers lose another player to injury, but some familiarity with coaches — Raheem Morris is familiar with 49ers team. Pretty split action, seeing a little more Falcons action on the ML, but moreso on the over. Opened 45.5, now up to 47.5.”

Bucs-Lions

Feazel: “Two-way action here, no surprise that public loves Baker Mayfield. Lions also being a public darling, we’re seeing either people bet Lions spread or Bucs ML. Slightly more money on the over. I expect once we get closer to game day, we’re going to need to go under with all the SGPs. This is where the public hones in on those anytime TDs. I expect two-way action, the Lions secondary injury report will probably dictate a bit where this line moves.”

Sharp action

It’s always notable where respected bettors have landed on this week’s games. While these prices may not currently be available at all sportsbooks, knowing where sharps have wagered can also be instructive for in-game wagering.

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Yahoo Sports conversed with several bookmakers over the course of the week, and here is where some sharp action has been (and the numbers it came in at):

  • Eagles -1.5

  • LA Chargers PK

  • Chiefs -10.5, -11.5

  • Panthers -1

Big bets

We’ll be keeping track of six-figure (and larger) Week 7 NFL bets from sportsbooks, as well as if they end up cashing.

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