Indiana vs Michigan Showdown: Which Team Will Defy the Odds Tonight?

Tonight’s showdown at Crisler Arena is set to burst with energy as the Michigan Wolverines bounce back from their latest road escapades to take on the Indiana Hoosiers in this electrifying Big Ten duel. With Michigan’s defensive tenacity leading the charge, I’m expecting the home team to really put the clamps on Indiana, dominating the hardwood with their signature grit and grind. These two squads bring contrasting vibes to the court—Michigan’s solid, relentless defense squared off against Indiana’s struggling offense—and the air’s thick with anticipation. Ready to dive into the nitty-gritty of my predictions and breakdowns for Tuesday, January 20? Buckle up, because this one promises some serious action. LEARN MORE

Crisler Arena will be rocking tonight as the Michigan Wolverines return home from a two-game road trip to host the Indiana Hoosiers in Big Ten action.

The Wolverines defense is tough, and my Indiana vs. Michigan predictions expect the home team to bowl over the visitors.

Read on for my college basketball picks for Tuesday, January 20.

Indiana vs Michigan prediction

Indiana vs Michigan best bet: Michigan -16 (-105)

The Michigan Wolverines rank second nationally in 2-point field-goal percentage and average 93.1 points per game, backed by the second-best defense in the country.

The Indiana Hoosiers enter on a three-game losing streak, sit 0–5 in Quadrant 1 games, and continue to struggle on the glass, ranking 13th in the Big Ten in rebounding.

Michigan’s size and depth generate consistent second-chance scoring, while Indiana’s perimeter-heavy shot profile, where 50% of its attempts come from downtown, will struggle against Michigan’s elite 36.0% field-goal defense.

The Wolverines score, rebound, and defend at a much higher level, setting up a convincing Michigan victory.

Indiana vs Michigan same-game parlay

Indiana guard Lamar Wilkerson has struggled to score from all three levels recently, and expecting a 20-point night against this Michigan defense is a stretch.

We’re adding the Under as the Hoosiers remain overly reliant on made threes to generate offense. That profile has a low floor against the Wolverines’ stop unit, making it difficult for Indiana to score enough to push the total Over.

Indiana vs Michigan SGP

Michigan -16
Lamar Wilkerson Under 19.5

Our beyond the arc SGP: SNIKT!

Morez Johnson Jr. is the Wolverines’ engine, and he’s scored more than 14 points in four of his last six games and in three straight Big Ten games at Crisler Arena.

Aday Mara is Michigan’s leading rebounder. I expect plenty of Indiana bricks tonight, and the Hoosiers are one of the worst rebounding teams in the conference.

Indiana vs Michigan SGP

Michigan -16
Lamar Wilkerson Under 19.5
Morez Johnson Jr. Over 13.5 points
Aday Mara Over 6.5 rebounds

Indiana vs Michigan odds

Spread: Indiana +16 (-115) | Michigan -16 (-105)
Moneyline: Indiana +950 | Michigan -1700
Over/Under: Over 163 (-110) | Under 163 (-110)

Indiana vs Michigan betting trend to know

Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Indiana vs. Michigan.

How to watch Indiana vs Michigan

Location	Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI
Date	Tuesday, January 20, 2026
Tip-off	7:00 p.m. ET
TV	Peacock

Indiana vs Michigan key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here