Patriots-Seahawks Super Bowl LX: The Shocking Passing Props That Could Change Everything

So here we are, staring down the barrel of Super Bowl LX with a pair of quarterbacks no one saw coming to the biggest stage — New England’s Drake Maye and Seattle’s Sam Darnold. Talk about a suspenseful script twist, right? Two seasons ago, New England was a wreck at 4-13; now, thanks to Maye’s rocket arm and some savvy coaching from Mike Vrabel, they’re sitting at 14-3 and Maye’s a frontrunner for 2025 MVP honors. Meanwhile, Darnold’s journey reads like a Hollywood redemption saga — mocked, doubted, then quietly leading Seattle to the top spot in the NFC playoffs. It begs the question: in a league ruled by quarterbacks, can these underdog signal callers deliver in clutch moments… and can we profit betting on their arm talent? I’ll break down the best passing props for this improbable Patriots-Seahawks showdown, where even the quirks — from Maye’s injured shoulder to sneaky trick plays — could make all the difference. Ready to dive in and outsmart the odds? LEARN MORE.

Given the recent league and Super Bowl MVP winners, the NFL is, in fact, a “quarterback-driven league”. So it’s only fitting that I begin my Super Bowl LX betting series by giving out my favorite passing props. Preseason, you couldn’t have landed New England Patriots QB Drake Maye vs. Seattle Seahawks QB Sam Darnold as the Super Bowl LX matchup with 1,000 guesses.

New England went from 4-13 two years ago to 14-3 this season thanks to Maye and second-year head coach Mike Vrabel. Maye is a 2025 NFL MVP finalist and was named second-team All-Pro in his second season in the league, while leading the NFL in QBR and completion rate.

Darnold’s path to the Super Bowl is even more random. After saving his career in Minnesota last year, Seattle signed Darnold this offseason to be its new franchise quarterback in a move ridiculed by several analysts and Seahawks fans. He earned that contract and some this season, leading Seattle to the 1-seed in the NFC playoffs.

That said, Super Bowl LX gives us a chance to profit from what we’ve learned about Maye and Darnold this season. With that in mind, here are my favorite passing props for the Patriots-Seahawks in Super Bowl 60.

Circa Sports in Las Vegas has Maye’s passing yard prop at 222.5, and I like betting the player props at these bigger sportsbooks when they differ from the “market-making” oddsmaker like Circa. While Maye has been terrible in these playoffs, New England will most likely need him to play at an MVP-level, whether it’s to get the lead or throw from behind.

Furthermore, Maye leads the league in completion rate over expectation (CPOE) with a bullet, according to NFL’s Next Gen Stats. Maye’s 9.1% CPOE is 4.0% greater than the guy in second, San Francisco 49ers QB Brock Purdy. Hence, Maye has proven he can throw guys open and fit the ball into tight windows.

I’m expecting the Over to be popular here because it’s not that expensive, and Darnold threw the third-most interceptions during the regular season (14). Plus, the Patriots had a pick against Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert and Houston Texans QB C.J. Stroud in their first two playoff games.

But Darnold hasn’t thrown an interception this postseason, and he has the best turnover-worthy play rate, per Pro Football Focus. Also, New England was 20th in pass deflections in the regular season, and Seattle has the third-lowest pass rate over expectation, according to Nfelo.

Regardless, if the game plays out the way the Seahawks hope, Darnold won’t need to drop back often Sunday. Between his maturation as a quarterback and the projected game script (the Seahawks winning), Darnold won’t put the ball in harm’s way.

This might sound like a crazy bet, but there have been 3+ players to attempt a pass in five of the last nine Super Bowls.

There is an “injury out” for this prop cashing, too. Maye missed practice last week with an illness and an injured shoulder. I’m sure the Patriots will inject him with painkillers if the shoulder is still hurt on Super Bowl Sunday. However, Maye does take too many sacks, so there is a chance he gets knocked out of the game.

If that doesn’t happen, perhaps a trick play like a Philly Special or wide-receiver-reverse-pass gets this prop home. Both defenses are elite, so the offensive playcallers might have to get creative to generate explosive plays. This includes fake punts and field goals or an aborted kick because of a bad snap.

Lastly, Seahawks TE A.J. Barner is their Tush Push quarterback. Maybe instead of sneaking it, Barner throws a jump pass at the goal line.

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Follow me on X (or Twitter, whatever) @Geoffery-Clark, and check out my OutKick Bets Podcast for more betting content and random rants. Track my NFL 2025-26 bets here.