Unlock Hidden College Hoops Value: Betting Secrets from ACC, Big Ten, and Big 12 Showdowns

So here we are: football season’s finito, and suddenly my Tuesdays and Saturdays get hijacked by college basketball — with March Madness lurking just around the corner like that one friend who always crashes your plans. Ten top-25 showdowns’re slated for Tuesday alone, making it impossible to ignore. Now, full disclosure — I’m no lifelong hoops diehard; I’m just parachuting into this madness with my St. John’s-colored glasses half on, half off. But hey, that’s my edge: a fresh eye that’s not drowning in fandom—well, except when it comes to my alma mater. I poke, prod, and overanalyze team stats, betting splits, and quirky trends until I squeeze out a bet worth writing about. Does it pay off? Not exactly yet—call it a work in progress to justify my non-football hustle. Curious how NC State stacks up against UNC without their superstar Caleb Wilson, or what “dead-cat bounce” Kansas State might be catching post-coach firestorm? Me too. Buckle up — here’s the lowdown for Tuesday’s odds and edges you won’t want to miss. LEARN MORE.

In my line of work, there are two mandatory days for betting on college basketball now that football season is over, and March Madness is around the corner: Tuesday and Saturday. For instance, there are 10 games featuring top-25 teams scheduled for Tuesday.

Disclaimer: I’m parachuting into the college basketball season, rather than being a diehard fan. However, this helps me take a non-biased approach to betting college hoops. (Sort of. St. John’s University is my alma mater, so every pro-Red Storm has my bias baked in.)

My process involves examining team profiles, betting splits, head-to-head and situational trends, and other random sh*t. Does it work? Not at the moment. Either way, I need something to write about to justify my employment in the non-football months. With that in mind, here are my looks for Tuesday.

First of all, NC State head coach Will Wade is much better than North Carolina head coach Hubert Davis. Wade’s last four teams have won 20+ games under him, including McNeese State, which won 56 games and made back-to-back NCAA Tournaments before Wade signed with the Wolfpack this offseason.

All of my UNC fan buddies think the program has regressed since Davis took over for Roy Williams in 2022. More importantly, the Tar Heels are missing their best player, superstar freshman big Caleb Wilson, who leads the team in points, rebounds, steals, and blocks per game. Lastly, NC State has a better net rating in ACC play, which includes Wilson for most of the season.

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The “asterisk” is because I already gave Iowa’s moneyline out in Tuesday’s OutKick newsletter.

I’m betting on Kansas State getting a “dead-cat bounce”. This is when a team plays better after firing their head coach, and the Wildcats gave now-former head coach Jerome Tang his walking papers for trashing his players following a 14-point loss to Houston Valentine’s Day. Given Tang’s comments, this is the perfect example of a “dead-cat bounce”.

I mean, Tang ripping into his former team was justified. Kansas State is 10-15, 1-11 in Big XII games, and just three years removed from an Elite Eight appearance. Plus, with NIL, these college basketball players in power conferences are getting paid, so they can’t hide behind the “student-athlete” label anymore.

Besides the “dead-cat bounce,” I’m fading Baylor as a road favorite. This line is suspiciously low considering KSU’s situation, and the Bears are 4-8 against the spread in conference play and have lost three straight games. Lastly, I watched my Johnnies crush Baylor earlier this season, and I don’t think this team is good. See, my St. John’s bias comes full circle.

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Follow me on X (or Twitter, whatever) @Geoffery-Clark, and check out my OutKick Bets Podcast for more betting content and random rants. Track my 2025-26 college basketball best bets here.