Upset Alert: Dark Horse Teams Poised to Conquer March Madness in 2025?
NCAA March Madness is upon us once again, a time when the college basketball world turns its madness towards the hopes of eternal glory or the despair of unexpected upset. While the thrill of the game has always been about the unpredictability (the sheer, glorious chance!), we’ve harnessed a bit of that chaos through our in-depth simulations of the 2025 NCAA men’s basketball tournament, running each game through our TRACR (Team Rating Adjusted for Conference and Roster) thousands of times. Here’s a treasure trove of what we discovered
But before the confetti falls or the brackets bust, let’s take a moment to marvel at the sheer drama of this season. From buzzer-beaters to Goliath toppling against the top team, we’ve seen miracles on every court. The question echoing through the hallowed sports forums and Twitter spaces is: Can we predict these miracles? What are our chances of a 12 vs. 5 upset? Could Florida be our new Cinderella, or hero if you will, following in the legendary steps of Kemba’s UConn?
NOW, let us dive into the data, the analytics, because while the ball might sometimes decide to take an extra bounce despite all calculations, the numbers, they give us odds, chances, probabilities. Read on, lads and lasses of the hardwood, for in these simulations, We’ve tried to snatched a bit of order from the March Madness chaos. Will Auburn, Duke, Houston, or perhaps underdogs like Yale or UC San Diego make their mark this year?
So grab your brackets, pour that third cup of coffee, and set your eyes on the ultimate prize. Here, we’ve laid out everything we learned, from potential powerhouse conferences, surprise entrants to the dance, and even who, might draw the short straw with a brutal bracket. And as we all get ready for the hoopla, we leave it to you to say: Who’s your pick to kickoff? And more importantly, will history repeat itself this time? LEARN MORE
We’ve simulated the NCAA men’s basketball tournament thousands of times to find the chances of teams making it to each round in March Madness. Here’s everything we learned.
From full court buzzer beaters to dominance against the No. 1 team in the country, this season has been full of drama.
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