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ESPN Model Drops Jaw-Dropping Prediction for College Football’s Most Explosive Offense—Is Your Team on the List?

ESPN Model Drops Jaw-Dropping Prediction for College Football’s Most Explosive Offense—Is Your Team on the List?

You know that feeling when the calendar flips to summer and the itch for college football hits harder than a linebacker on a QB sneak? Well, buckle up — the 2025 season is creeping closer, and with spring wrapped, fall camps just a blink away, the question on everyone’s lips is: who’s gonna be clutching that shiny new trophy come January? Last year, Ohio State marched through the inaugural 12-team College Football Playoff like it owned the place, knocking off Tennessee, Oregon, Texas, and Notre Dame to snag Ryan Day’s first title. But hey, history only tells part of the story. ESPN’s SP+ model — that clever mix of returning talent, fresh recruits, and recent track record — is already stirring the pot, and its No.1 offensive surprise? Miami, led by transfer QB Carson Beck, who just might crank out the most electrifying attack in the nation despite a middling defense. So… can the Hurricanes really flip the script? Or will the familiar contenders hold tight another year? Oh, and on a lighter note, if you ever wonder what Kirk Herbstreit’s life off the mic looks like, you might wanna check out a little surprise that’s popped up alongside the chatter. Trust me, there’s more to this game than just stats and scores — it’s about the stories that keep us hooked. LEARN MORE.

Meet The Wife Of Kirk Herbstreit (1:13)

The 2025 college football regular season is right around the corner.

Spring semester has wrapped up, summer is nearly here and before you know it, teams will be reporting to fall camp. Week 1 is just a couple of months away now.

The 2024 college football season featured the inaugural 12-team College Football Playoff. Ohio State, which went 10-2 in the regular season, took home the championship. The Buckeyes took down Tennessee, Oregon, Texas and Notre Dame en route to a national championship – Ryan Day’s first.

Who will be holding up the trophy at the end of the 2025 season?

INGLEWOOD, CA – OCTOBER 24: ESPN analyst Kirk Edward Herbstreit during the Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Rams on October 24, 2024, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. (Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Icon Sportswire/Getty Images

An ESPN projection model, the SP+, uses three main factors to project its rankings for the 2025 season:

  • Returning production
  • Recent recruiting
  • Recent history

“Using a chunk of information from previous seasons gives us a good measure of overall program health. It stands to reason that a team that has played well for one year is less likely to duplicate that effort than a team that has been good for years on end (and vice versa), right? This factor accounts for a little more than 20% of the projection, and it focuses only on what happened within the past three seasons. I used to use a weighted history stretching back five years, but that’s a less effective approach now with the changes in the sport,” ESPN says.

Who will have the country’s No. 1 offense in 2025?

ESPN is going with a surprise pick: Miami.

MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA – SEPTEMBER 27: Miami Hurricanes Head Coach Mario Cristobal celebrates after winning the game against the Virginia Tech Hokies at Hard Rock Stadium on September 27, 2024 in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Michael Pimentel/ISI Photos/Getty Images)

Michael Pimentel/ISI Photos/Getty Images

ESPN’s model has Miami, led by transfer quarterback Carson Beck, with the No. 1 offense in the country in 2025.

The Hurricanes are projected to have the country’s No. 49 defense, but No. 1 overall offense. Beck, who reportedly landed a $4 million deal to transfer to The U, will look to lead the country’s top offense.

You can view the full rankings here.

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