Why This Overlooked Factor Could Blow the Total Even with Weak Starters
Ever wonder why so many baseball games don’t end with just a single run difference? Yesterday’s slate reminded me—out of 15 games, only four were nail-biters decided by one run. That’s a real eye-opener when you’re pondering whether to lean into run lines or moneylines. Tonight’s Brewers vs. Reds matchup at 7:10 ET serves up another intriguing puzzle. The Brewers, sizzling with a seven-game winning streak, are looking to push that hot streak even further under the arm of Aaron Civale, who’s quietly improved despite some rough stats. Meanwhile, the Reds, hovering just below .500 and riding some inconsistency, will throw Brady Singer out there, who performs markedly better at home than on the road. This feels like one of those games that could tip either way—a pitching duel with a sneaky potential for offensive fireworks. Given all that, instead of gambling on who’ll take it, I’m eyeballing the under, especially since a 9.5 run line feels just a tad ambitious. So, what’s your take—run line, moneyline, or under? Let’s dive into the nitty-gritty and figure this one out. LEARN MORE.Brewers vs. Reds, 7:10 ET
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