Unlocking NFL Secrets: How ELO Ratings Are Changing the Game Forever
What if I told you that not all pass rush success is created equal? Sure, Myles Garrett’s 63% 1-on-1 win rate in 2024 sounds impressive — especially when you consider the NFL average is a mere 26%. But does raw win percentage really capture the whole story? Early in 2025, when Garrett dangled the possibility of a trade, folks buzzed about how this superstar edge rusher could reshape a team’s future. Yet, beyond accolades and jaw-dropping contracts, I’ve always wondered: how do we measure true ability against the backdrop of fierce competition — not just how often you win, but who you beat? That’s where our NFL ELO ratings come into play. By digging deep into 1-on-1 matchups and factoring in the strength of opponents, we’ve crafted a system that tells the story stats often miss. It’s like leveling the playing field in a game where every block and rush counts — and trust me, lining up Garrett one-on-one against your average left tackle? It’s a recipe for offense nightmares. Curious how this all shakes out for Garrett and other elite defenders? Dive in, the numbers might just surprise you. LEARN MORE
We’ve charted and calculated 1-on-1 matchup win percentages and used the data to create our own version of NFL ELO ratings that are adjusted based on strength of competition.
How good of a pass rusher is Myles Garrett? And how would acquiring someone like Garrett change the trajectory of a team?
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