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Are the Chiefs Heading Toward an Unthinkable Fall from Super Bowl Glory?

Are the Chiefs Heading Toward an Unthinkable Fall from Super Bowl Glory?

Kansas City, a 1.5-point favorite in terms of point spread this year, was also an underdog by our model the past two years. In 2022, the Chiefs held an 8.55 TRACR while the Eagles headed in at 11.02 and they had a 5.93 mark last year while the San Francisco 49ers were at 10.38. Ultimately, it didn’t matter as the Chiefs held off the Eagles 38-35 in Super Bowl LVII and came from behind to beat the 49ers 25-22 in Super Bowl LVIII.

The historical data certainly doesn’t guarantee this will be a one-sided dud of a Super Bowl, especially with this Chiefs team involved. Kansas City’s eight comeback wins after trailing at any point in the second half are tied for the second most in a single season (including the playoffs) all time behind only the Minnesota Vikings’ nine in 2022.

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