Back Bassitt: Can He Outsmart the ‘Backs and Change the Game?

I wrote yesterday about a play that I didn’t have a ton of confidence in, but liked the value in the play. I shared a lean that hit, but the overall play lost. I’ve been asked a bunch of times by people why I would play something that I think has a probability of losing. The reality is that no play I put out do I ever think is going to be a loser, but without getting too into the concept of value, if I think I’m getting paid more than I should, and there is some edge, I’ll play it. Baseball is a sport where any team can win on any given day. Take calculated risks, but like poker, get the most money in when you are sure you have the best play. I’m not sure this is the best play ever, but I do have a lot of confidence in this one between the Diamondbacks and the Blue Jays. 

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