Can the Patriots Defy the Odds and Win More Than Just Their 11 Favored Games in 2025?

The 2025 NFL schedule is officially out, and with it comes the betting lines for every single matchup—272 games all told. As expected, a powerhouse like the Kansas City Chiefs dominates the favorites’ column, except for that tricky road trip to Buffalo. But here’s the kicker—while everyone’s eyes are on the usual suspects, there’s an eyebrow-raising story brewing from New England. According to Connor Roche over at Boston.com, the Patriots are opening as favorites in a whopping 11 of their 17 regular-season games on DraftKings Sportsbook. Sounds wild, right? Especially when you consider they finished last season at 4-13 with an over-under win total around 8.5. Yet, it turns out those odds are dead-on. These narrow spreads—many within just a field goal—reflect a team beginning to shed its past scars under new head coach Mike Vrabel, shaking off the shadow of a roster once left in shambles by the former front office regime. It’s an intriguing glimpse of optimism creeping back into the Patriots’ fold, something that few anticipated but now can’t ignore. LEARN MORE

We checked, mainly because it was hard to believe that a 4-13 with a projected over-under win total of 8.5 games would be favored to win in 11 games. But it’s dead-on balls accurate.Obviously, the lines can — and will — change once the games get going. And every game currently has the spread within one score; seven of the games in which the Patriots are favored have a spread of three points or fewer.With the setting of the 2025 regular-season schedule comes the making of the lines for all 272 games. Some trends, such as the Chiefs being favored in all games except their trip to Buffalo, are no surprise.Via Connor Roche of Boston.com, the Patriots open as the favorites in 11 of their 17 games at DraftKings Sportsbook.The Patriots are favored in Week 1 vs. the Raiders (3.5 point), Week 3 vs. the Steelers (1.5), Week 4 vs. the Panthers (3.5), Week 6 at Saints (3), Week 7 at Titans (1.5), Week 8 vs. Browns (5.5), Week 9 vs. Falcons (3), Week 11 vs. Jets (5.5), Week 13 vs. Giants (3), Week 17 at Jets (1.5), and Week 18 vs. Dolphins (2.5).

It nevertheless shows that the Patriots are currently giving off good vibes, now that they’ve hired coach Mike Vrabel and have made major changes to a roster that the former de facto G.M. had left largely in ruins.At least one development is.