Can the Twins Upset the Red Sox? Insider Predictions and Key Stats to Watch on May 2

Friday night baseball at Fenway Park is shaping up to be quite the chess match as the Minnesota Twins (13-19) visit the Boston Red Sox (17-16) — both teams jittery from recent streaks going the wrong way. The Twins bring a three-game skid after tasting victory four times in a row, while Boston is stumbling too, reeling from back-to-back losses to Toronto after a nice three-win burst. On the mound, Joe Ryan will toe the rubber for Minnesota, fresh off a stellar outing featuring 11 strikeouts and zero earned runs, squarely opposite Brayan Bello, who’s looking to build on his two early-season wins despite a shaky last start where he surrendered three runs over six innings.

This one promises to be a captivating duel, layered with gritty pitching battles, streaky offenses, and all the drama that springtime baseball dishes out. I’m eagerly diving into the angle, breaking down where the game can be won or lost — pitching matchups, team form, betting lines, even those subtle trends you don’t want to miss out on come game time. Plus, I’ll walk you through how to catch every pitch live — no one wants to miss a beat when two teams claw for momentum as these do.

If you’re as hooked on the nuances of player stats and those little in-season ripples that make all the difference, you’ll want to hang on for the full scoop. Staying ahead means not just eyeballing the scoreboard but understanding how last week’s performance can foreshadow tonight’s outcome. Toss in some expert picks alongside analytic-driven predictions and best bet insights, and you’ve got all the heavy artillery to maximize your game-day experience.

Oh, and if fantasy baseball or sharp betting news is your thing, Rotoworld Player News has you covered all season long — a must-bookmark as the summer grinds on. So, buckle up: we’re unpacking this Twins vs. Red Sox showdown with plenty of heat — the kind you don’t want to sweat out alone.

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It’s Friday, May 2 and the Twins (13-19) are in Boston to take on the Red Sox (17-16). Joe Ryan is slated to take the mound for Minnesota against Brayan Bello for Boston.

Boston has lost the past two games to Toronto after winning three straight before that, which is similar to Minnesota who’s dropped three straight after four consecutive wins.

Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Twins at Red Sox

• Date: Friday, May 2, 2025
• Time: 7:10 PM EST
• Site: Fenway Park
• City: Boston, MA
• Network/Streaming: MNNT, NESN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Twins at the Red Sox

The latest odds as of Friday:

• Moneyline: Twins (-106), Red Sox (-113)
• Spread: Red Sox 1.5
• Total: 9.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Twins at Red Sox

• Pitching matchup for May 2, 2025: Joe Ryan vs. Brayan Bello
  • Twins: Joe Ryan, (2-2, 3.18 ERA)
    Last outing: 7.0 Innings Pitched, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 4 Hits Allowed, 1 Walk, and 11 Strikeouts
  • Red Sox: Brayan Bello, (2-0, 3.27 ERA)
    Last outing: 6,0 Innings Pitched, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 3 Walks, and 4 Strikeouts

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Twins and the Red Sox

Rotoworld Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) leans the Twins:

“Bello is making his third start of the season and while Boston has won both of those games, too many people may buy into that during a pick-em. Ryan is coming off an excellent start (11 Ks, 0 ER, 7 IP), while Bello allowed three earned runs and walked three over six innings of work. Neither team has figured it out yet, but I trust Minnesota to figure out Bello, so I’d have to lean toward Minnesota.

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Friday’s game between the Twins and the Red Sox:

• Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Boston Red Sox on the Moneyline.
• Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Minnesota Twins at +1.5.
• Total: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 9.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Twins at Red Sox

• The Red Sox have won 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with losing records
• The Under is 4-1 in the Twins’ last 5 games

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

• Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
• Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
• Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
• Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)