CFP Shockers: Which Underdog Could Rewrite Playoff History This Year?
A team that hasn’t been able to run the ball all season will not suddenly learn how to do it in the CFP. QB Ty Simpson is great when he’s good, and receivers Germie Bernard and Ryan Williams could make enough big plays (as long as Williams doesn’t drop the ball) to get the Tide through Oklahoma.
But I’d be really surprised if they could beat OU’s elite defense and then beat No. 1 Indiana, which will be more rested, in the Rose Bowl quarterfinal.
The Opta Supercomputer Says:
- Opening Game Win Probability: 44.7%
- Probability of Reaching the Semis: 7.0%
- Probability of Reaching the Final: 2.2%
- Probability of Winning the Title: 0.3%
No. 8 Oklahoma (10-2)
OU’s Opening Game: vs. No. 9 Alabama, Dec. 19.

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