CFP Shockers: Which Underdog Could Rewrite Playoff History This Year?
- Opening Game Win Probability: 69.0%
- Probability of Reaching the Semis: 11.3%
- Probability of Reaching the Final: 6.4%
- Probability of Winning the Title: 2.2%
No. 9 Alabama (10-3)
Bama’s Opening Game: at No. 8 Oklahoma, Dec. 19.
How Many Games Can They Win? One. Two if they get rolling.
Why? Alabama has a 36.2% rushing success rate and 3.9% explosive run rate, both well below the power conference average. Two of the Tide’s top three running backs have recently been injured, though it sounds like starter Jam Miller could play against No. 8 Oklahoma.

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