CFP Showdown: Will Notre Dame’s Underdog Spirit Topple Ohio State’s Empire?
The Ohio State Buckeyes haven’t won the national championship in 10 years, which might as well be 40 for that fanbase, and Ryan Day will either lose as a 8.5-point favorite (they opened as 9.5-point favorites) or complete the fastest transition ever from reviled, potentially hot-seated coach to king of the college football world.
TRACR, Opta Analyst’s rating and projection system that’s 10-0 in the playoffs (see below), gives the Buckeyes a 76.0% chance to win. I’m also picking the Buckeyes and expect them to cover. But the Buckeyes should at least have a much harder time than they did in their first two playoff romps over Tennessee and Oregon, and Notre Dame could succeed on the margins where Texas, in the Cotton Bowl semifinal, did not.
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