College Football 2024: Which Underdog Teams Could Cash In Big Against Vegas Expectations?
Utah State: 5.5 wins (Vegas) vs. 7.5 wins (TRACR)
This might be the TRACR projection that warrants the most skepticism. The model is very wise, but it doesn’t know everything, and one of its blind spots is a coaching change right before the season.
USU fired coach Blake Anderson in July after a Title IX investigation, leaving the program in the hands of an interim coach (defensive coordinator Nate Dreiling) and Anderson’s former players with a mountain of disruption ahead of the season. The Aggies won six regular season games a year ago and were active in the portal, but they have not had the preseason of a team that’s likely to overachieve.

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