College Football 2024: Which Underdog Teams Could Cash In Big Against Vegas Expectations?
Our projection model and Las Vegas agree about the 2024 college football season.
Mostly, anyway.
The gap between FBS teams’ predicted win total in betting markets and our TRACR projection system is an average of 0.15 wins. But TRACR projects 17 teams to be at least 1.5 wins worse than their Vegas (via FanDuel) preseason total and projects another 11 to be at least 1.5 wins better.
TRACR combines play data from the prior season with adjustments for recruiting class rankings, transfer portal additions, and other offseason roster turnover. It also accounts for each team’s strength of schedule (both last year and this year) and then reaches a wins projection for 2024.
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