College Football 2024: Which Underdog Teams Could Cash In Big Against Vegas Expectations?
Florida: 4.5 wins (Vegas) vs. 6.1 wins (TRACR)
If betting markets are right and the Gators are a four- or five-win team, then coach Billy Napier is almost certainly in his last year in Gainesville. If the Gators overachieve and make a bowl game, then Napier’s future might still be unsettled, but at least he’ll have given himself a fighting chance to stick around.
TRACR gives the Gators a 65.3% chance of reaching the six-win threshold, and even a 16.0% chance of qualifying for the 12-team CFP in its first year. Or, of course, things could go badly.

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