College Football 2024: Which Underdog Teams Could Cash In Big Against Vegas Expectations?
Oregon State: 7.5 wins (Vegas) vs. 9.4 wins (TRACR)
The Beavers are a difficult projection case for humans this year, because they’re effectively playing in a new league. The Pac-12 is just a carcass containing OSU and rival Washington State, and both of those teams will play a Mountain West schedule after losing most of their star players to transfer or the NFL.
Betting markets think those departures will hurt the program more than our model does.
TRACR is more optimistic than bettors that new coach Trent Bray can string together a strong season. Bowl eligibility shouldn’t be in doubt (a 99.7% chance), but Oregon State would be an interesting CFP case if it could somehow run the gauntlet against a pseudo-conference schedule.
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