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College Football Playoff Rivals: Which Underdogs Could Shock the Nation and Secure Their Spot?

College Football Playoff Rivals: Which Underdogs Could Shock the Nation and Secure Their Spot?

Playoff Potential Ratings: Group of Five (xWins/Playoff Potential)

  • James Madison (8.7/23.0)
  • Texas State Bobcats (8.7/21.7)
  • UTSA Roadrunners (8.3/15.9)
  • Liberty Flames (8.7/15.0)
  • Toledo Rockets (8.7/12.8)
  • Tulane Green Wave (7.8/10.1)
  • Memphis Tigers (7.6/8.9)
  • Fresno State Bulldogs (8.0/8.2)
  • Georgia State Panthers (7.3/4.3)
  • Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (7.5/4.2)
  • Boise State Broncos (7.4/4.2)
  • Utah State Aggies (7.5/3.9)
  • Appalachian State Mountaineers (7.1/3.2)
  • Rice Owls (7.4/3.1)
  • UAB Blazers (7.4/2.9)

Nobody’s got a great Playoff potential projection now. That’s to be expected, with 62 NCAA football schools vying for exactly one bid. (Two Group of Five schools making the field isn’t strictly speaking impossible, but the committee’s history suggests it will only happen rarely if ever.) 

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