College Football Playoff Showdown: Which Teams Are Poised to Shock the Nation in Week 13?
I think the Longhorns clearly have a better chance than the two-loss teams ranked ahead of them in this tier. Boy, would that be a fight.
The supercomputer gives Utah an 84.0% chance of staying clean the rest of the way, Miami 62.8% and Texas 38.7%. (The Longhorns also have to avoid tripping up against a bad but prickly Arkansas team.)
Big 12 Life Support
- Houston
- Arizona State
The Cougars and Sun Devils are still alive, barely, in the labyrinth of Big 12 tiebreaker scenarios. You can safely ignore them for playoff purposes, but I’m including them here to be a completionist.


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