College Football Playoff Showdown: Which Teams Are Poised to Shock the Nation in Week 13?

The Opta supercomputer assigns these chances of winning out: Oregon at 52.4%, Oklahoma at 56.6% and Alabama at 70.9%. Given those odds, they’re probably not all winning out.
Probably in Control, but it’ll be Hard
BYU is the only team in this tier with a guarantee if it wins out. The 9-1 Cougars control their fate in the Big 12 race. But to get in, they would probably need to win a Big 12 Championship rematch with a Texas Tech team that already destroyed them in Lubbock.
The tiers above this one feature 10 teams, none of which will knock each other out head-to-head. So, a few teams with great cases could get bounced. (That’s before we even deal with finding a spot for the ACC champion and top-ranked Group of Five champ.)


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