
Could the Pacers’ Bold Strategy Against the Thunder Rewrite NBA Finals History?
Almost nobody picked them heading into this series, but now the Pacers are slowly turning the tide. Our projection model gives them a 31.2% probability of winning Game 4 and a 26.4% chance of winning the title (as of Thursday). That’s up from 9.6% at the start of the Finals.
Game 4 Win Probability: Thunder 68.8%
Series Win Probability: Thunder 73.6%
Thunder Optimism?
Most of the developments in Game 3 were in favor of the Pacers, but the Thunder did get better performances from their second- and third-best players.
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