ESPN Model Drops Jaw-Dropping Prediction for College Football’s Most Explosive Offense—Is Your Team on the List?

An ESPN projection model, the SP+, uses three main factors to project its rankings for the 2025 season:

• Returning production
• Recent recruiting
• Recent history

“Using a chunk of information from previous seasons gives us a good measure of overall program health. It stands to reason that a team that has played well for one year is less likely to duplicate that effort than a team that has been good for years on end (and vice versa), right? This factor accounts for a little more than 20% of the projection, and it focuses only on what happened within the past three seasons. I used to use a weighted history stretching back five years, but that’s a less effective approach now with the changes in the sport,” ESPN says.

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