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Explosive Showdown Looms: Will Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game 3 Ignite Into an All-Out ‘Rock-Fight’?

Explosive Showdown Looms: Will Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game 3 Ignite Into an All-Out 'Rock-Fight'?

Oklahoma City beat the brakes off Minnesota 114-88 in Game 1, going Under the 219.5 total, and 118-103 in Game 2, going Over the 218 total. After being named 2024-25 NBA MVP, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander went off in Game 2 Thursday. SGA had game-highs in points (38) and assists (8) while shooting 57.1% and 13-of-15 from the foul line.

Since 2020, the totals for Game 3s when the home underdog is down 0-2 are 6-9 Over/Under (O/U), including 0-3 O/U this postseason. I’ll factor in a trend if I can understand it, and that’s the case with this trend. With their backs against the wall, the inferior team (home ‘dog) will fight like hell to stave off elimination, which usually means more effort on defense. 

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