Final Four Showdown: Which Underdog Will Defy Expectations and Claim Glory?
Potential Championship Matchups (Win Probability)
Whoever wins the Michigan vs. Arizona semifinal will go into the championship game as the favorite, as they’ve both dominated this season. But UConn and Illinois have experience with knocking off high-level opponents this March, as UConn upset Duke, currently third in TRACR, and Illinois beat Houston, currently seventh in TRACR.
UConn has had the hardest path to the Final Four when it comes to their opponents’ combined TRACR. Illinois lost to both UConn and Michigan in their matchups this season while Arizona beat UConn on Nov. 19. Michigan and UConn did not play each other this season, and Arizona did not play Michigan or Illinois.
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