Friday Night Showdown: Can the Blue Jays and Mariners Pull Off Stunning Upsets Against Red Sox and Rangers?

Since acquiring Berrios in 2021, Toronto is 8-3 when he starts vs. the Red Sox, including five in a row, and 5-1 in Berrios’ trips to Fenway Park. He’s allowed just three earned runs on 11 hits and four walks with 10 strikeouts in 13.2 innings and two starts against Boston this year. Berrios has a better exit velocity and K-BB% vs. active Red Sox than Bello against the Blue Jays, per Statcast. 

Plus, Boston’s bats have been ice-cold lately. Over the past two weeks, the Red Sox are 29th in WAR and wRC+, and 28th in K/BB rate, according to FanGraphs. Finally, the Blue Jays out-rank Boston in wRC+ (102-95) and have better plate discipline (0.46-0.34 BB/K rate) against right-handed pitching. 

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