Game 7 Showdown: Can the Pacers Defy the Odds and Shock the Thunder in NBA Finals?

The Indiana Pacers just keep flipping the script this postseason, notching their 10th win as the less-favored team with a solid 108-91 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 6 of the 2025 NBA Finals. Coming in as 5.5-point underdogs, they didn’t just cover — they sent a message. This game marked the fourth time the total stayed under, proving this Finals series isn’t your run-of-the-mill shootout. Starting as long shots at +550 against a hefty -800 favorite in Oklahoma City, the Pacers have already shaken the odds board. Should they pull off a Game 7 win, we’d be witnessing one of the most stunning upsets to ever grace the NBA Finals stage. As the Thunder’s favor shrinks slightly to -7.5 with the total dipping to 215.5, the stakes couldn’t feel any higher. I’ve got a real feeling this series is boiling down to clutch performances, and the insights from top handicapper Jon Metler on key assists props just might tip the scales. Curious how it all unfolds? Dive deeper and LEARN MORE.

“These games have tanked his assists line in the market, but that’s good for us — it’s opened up a chance to attack the lower total and even take a shot at the alternate over of 6.5 (+132), which I believe should be trading closer to -115. There’s solid value on this number, and the fact that his role players and shooters are back home should help, too. In the last home game (Game 5), they converted 10 assists for SGA.””I believe this prop should be trading closer to -120 for Haliburton in Game 7, which is why I’m hitting the button on +144.”Best bet: Tyrese Haliburton 8+ assists (+144)

Best bet: Tyrese Haliburton 8+ assists (+144)

Best bet: Tyrese Haliburton 8+ assists (+144)

“Similar to the SGA prop, look at the spot — it’s Game 7 of the NBA Finals, where his usage and minutes should be as high as possible. Yes, Haliburton is nursing a calf injury, but I thought he looked completely fine in Game 6. If anything, the injury is what’s creating this value.AdvertisementThe Thunder opened as 8.5-point home favorites in Game 7, but the line has drifted back to -7.5. The total is the lowest in the series at 215.5.”His totals dropped heading into Game 6 due to uncertainty around his minutes and the injury, and they didn’t adjust much after Game 6 because he only played 23 minutes due to the blowout. If Haliburton plays 35 minutes in that game, he likely smashes all of his totals — and the numbers for Game 7 would look very different.