Georgetown vs North Carolina: Can Underdogs Defy the Odds in Tonight’s College Basketball Showdown?

The No. 16 North Carolina Tar Heels are back on their home court, ready to face off against the Georgetown Hoyas at the Smith Center this Sunday evening. After eking out a nail-biting three-point victory over Kentucky on Tuesday, the Tar Heels look to regain their stride following a tough 16-point setback against Michigan State. It’s a fresh chance for Hubert Davis’ squad to flex their offensive muscles, especially at home where they’ve been lighting up the scoreboard with some fierce performances. Meanwhile, Georgetown, boasting a respectable 6-2 record, arrives with a gritty offense but a defense that’s had its share of struggles this season—setting the stage for a compelling clash. If you’re curious why I’m all-in on the Tar Heels finding their rhythm again and the angles worth watching this December 7th, you won’t want to miss the breakdown ahead. LEARN MORE

The No. 16 North Carolina Tar Heels return home to the Smith Center for a Sunday matchup with the visiting Georgetown Hoyas.

UNC picked up a three-point win over Kentucky on Tuesday to bounce back from a disappointing showing in a 16-point loss to Michigan State.

See why I’m bullish on the Tar Heels offense getting back on track with my Georgetown vs. North Carolina predictions and college basketball picks for Sunday, December 7.

Georgetown vs North Carolina prediction

Georgetown vs North Carolina best bet: North Carolina Team Total Over 80.5 (-115)

The Georgetown Hoyas aren’t a pushover team, sitting with a 6-2 record in Ed Cooley’s third season in charge. The offense has paved the way for wins over Clemson (79-74) and Maryland (70-60), but the defense hasn’t been up to par and may not travel well in a difficult matchup.

The Hoyas check in at 117th in adjusted defensive efficiency (per KenPom), surrendering 74 ppg. They don’t rebound particularly well and foul far too often (334th in opponent free throws per game at 18.5), and the personnel isn’t comprised of defensive stoppers.

Caleb Wilson (19.3 ppg) and Henri Veesaar (16 ppg) should be able to feast in the paint against a team that has only one rotational player averaging 20 minutes per game standing above 6-foot-7. Center Vincent Iwuchukwu is out for this contest, and his paint presence will be missed against a North Carolina Tar Heels team that lives at the rim (eighth in near-proximity attempt rate, per Haslametrics).

Hubert Davis’ squad has been more potent at home, scoring 87+ points in four of their five games at the Smith Center. Included in there is an 87-point showing against a Kansas team ranked 11th in adjusted defensive efficiency.

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Georgetown vs North Carolina same-game parlay

North Carolina isn’t known as a shooting team, hitting 31.7% from downtown. That concern is mitigated against a poor Georgetown defense, so the Tar Heels should like their chances of getting out to a fast start at the Smith Center.

Georgetown vs North Carolina SGP

North Carolina Team Total Over 80.5
North Carolina -10.5
North Carolina -6 in the First Half
Over 71.5 in the First Half

Our beyond the arc SGP: Wilson exploits Hoyas interior defense

Wilson has scored over 20 points in four of five home games this season. The 6-foot-10 freshman phenom is poised to capitalize on Georgetown’s lackluster interior defense, and so is the 7-foot Veesaar.

Georgetown vs North Carolina SGP

North Carolina Team Total Over 80.5
North Carolina -10.5
North Carolina -6 in the First Half
Caleb Wilson Over 19.5 Points
Henry Veesaar Over 15.5 Points
Over 71.5 in the First Half

Georgetown vs North Carolina odds

Spread: Georgetown +10.5 (-105) | North Carolina -10.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Georgetown +475 | North Carolina -650
Over/Under: Over 150.5 (-110) | Under 150.5 (-110)

Georgetown vs North Carolina betting trend to know

North Carolina is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games as the favorite. Find more college basketball betting trends for Georgetown vs. North Carolina.

How to watch Georgetown vs North Carolina

Location	Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC
Date	Sunday, December 7, 2025
Tip-off	5:00 p.m. ET
TV	ESPN

Georgetown vs North Carolina key injuries

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