Inside the 2025 FedExCup Playoffs: Which Dark Horse Could Shock the BMW Championship?

He is second in this field for SG: Putting over the last three months, according to Betsperts Golf. He’s gained more than 21 strokes on the greens in his last four starts. For what it’s worth, Rory was fourth in the 2021 BMW at Caves Valley, whereas Scheffler was T22. Albeit Scottie has surpassed McIlroy as the best golfer in the world since. 

Nonetheless, Rory is definitely the second-best. His +220 odds at DraftKings in this matchup have a 31% implied win probability, and I have McIlroy beating Scheffler at least 40% of the time. Betsperts Golf backs this up and gives Rory +129 break-even odds vs. Scottie, which has a 44% implied win probability. 

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