Inside the 2025 NFL Forecast: Surprising Standouts and Shocking Upsets Revealed by Opta Analyst

Well, we crunched the numbers, ran 1,000 simulations and determined each team’s projected record and chances to make the playoffs, winning their division and reaching the Super Bowl.

Each club earned a “team score,” which derived from player ratings, roster depth charts and coaching changes. We also looked at home-field advantage for each team based on its scoring output at home versus the road compared to other teams.

From there, teams were evaluated head-to-head to determine likely wins and losses. This ultimately helped us determine playoff probability, divisional results and more. The simulations include projected ties, so it’s important to note that expected win-loss records may not add up to exactly 17 games for all teams.

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