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Inside the 2025 NFL Forecast: Surprising Standouts and Shocking Upsets Revealed by Opta Analyst
This year, our model points to the Jacksonville Jaguars. Jacksonville is second in projected wins (10.4), behind only the Buffalo Bills and ahead of the Chiefs and Eagles. They also have a 76.6% chance to make the playoffs, according to our projections (as of June 25).
After a 4-13 collapse last season, the Jaguars look poised for a sharp rebound behind a strong core and an upgraded coaching staff.
It starts with head coach Liam Coen, who in 2024 improved the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ offensive success rate by almost 5% compared to the average of the play-callers before him since 2016. He also comes from the Sean McVay tree that’s produced other good head coaches like Kevin O’Connell, Mike McDaniel and Matt LaFleur.
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