
Is Investing Big in Running Backs the Secret to NFL Success—or a Costly Gamble?
The best strategy for any team uncertain about either the free agency or rookie class is to do what the Detroit Lions did in 2022. They signed David Montgomery in free agency – a devalued starting-caliber player at a low price – and then drafted a complementary runner in Gibbs who played the position differently. The Lions have ranked no worse than 11th on the ground since then, including fifth in rushing EVE (efficiency versus expected) in 2024.
If a team wants to upgrade their backfield, that is the best strategy.
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