
“Is J.K. Dobbins on the Verge of a Stunning Comeback, or Is His Season Over? Discover the Truth Behind His Recovery!”
When it comes to fantasy football, tensions often run high as we chase the ultimate victory. Decisions hinge on a delicate balance of gut feelings, statistical analysis, and timing. It’s all too easy to spiral into panic mode after a disappointing performance—especially with such a limited window to evaluate players before a crucial matchup. But instead of hitting the panic button, why not take a step back? In this insightful breakdown, Dalton Del Don navigates the uncertainty of player performance in this week’s roster evaluations, helping you discern which players deserve your concern and which ones might be worth holding onto. So, let’s dive into the stats, matchups, and narratives to see where the real worries lie as we approach the next round of competitions. LEARN MORE
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Jayden Reed, Green Bay Packers
Dobbins turned 24 opportunities into just 68 yards against a vulnerable Saints defense last week. Javonte Williams scored his only two touchdowns of the season the previous week against New Orleans. Any back can have a subpar game, but there’s concern Dobbins is wearing down coming off Achilles surgery. He got 9.9 YPC and led the league in missed tackles forced per attempt over the first two weeks (against the Panthers and Raiders), but he’s managed a lowly 3.1 YPC while ranking 45th in MTF/att over five games since.Still, Miami’s offense hasn’t looked nearly as explosive this season even with Tagovailoa, and Achane’s emergence in the passing game will continue to hurt Waddle’s volume. Waddle will be fine and remains a top-25 WR, but there’s obvious concern for those who drafted him expecting more in 2024.Waddle disappointed during Tua Tagovailoa’s return last week, finishing as the WR57 while committing a bad drop downfield in a favorable matchup with Tyreek Hill banged up. While one game is meaningless, Waddle now sits with a lowly 15% target share over 100 pass attempts from Tagovailoa this season; Hill sports a 28% target share, and De’Von Achane’s is also higher at 19%.It can be so easy to panic in fantasy football. After all, we have a very limited amount of time to witness and analyze a player’s performance. But never fear — Dalton Del Don is here to gauge exactly how worried we should be — if at all.Stroud gets a tough matchup Thursday night against a Jets secondary allowing the second-fewest passing yards per game (180.0), so he belongs on fantasy benches. Collins’ possible return in Week 10 will certainly help (and the schedule gets more favorable), but Stroud is the QB22 this season, so his fantasy managers may already be in the coping corner.
J.K. Dobbins, Los Angeles Chargers
Stroud appeared on the Panic Meter last week, and things have only gotten worse. He finished as the QB26 in a highly favorable home matchup and lost Stefon Diggs for the season. Stroud has now finished as a top-five fantasy QB just twice during his career, with the last time coming back in Week 12 last season.Green Bay’s pass catchers are healthier than ever, but Jordan Love’s status for Week 9 is in question after he suffered a groin injury last game (the Packers may be more inclined to rest him with an upcoming Week 10 bye). Green Bay recorded a staggering -18% dropback rate over expected during two games with Malik Willis starting earlier this year, and he attempted just five passes over two quarters last week.Moreover, Justin Herbert is third in pass attempts since L.A.’s bye after being one of the league’s run-heaviest teams before. The volume has been nice, but there’s some concern given Dobbins’ extreme drop in efficiency coming off major surgery, a shift in L.A.’s offensive philosophy and a tougher upcoming schedule.
Jaylen Waddle, Miami Dolphins
That said, there’s reason for optimism. Miami put up a season-high 27 points during Tagovailoa’s return last week, when the Dolphins’ neutral pass rate went from worst to nearly first. Waddle had 122 targets and 1,380 receiving yards over his previous 17 games with Tagovailoa before last week, and there’s also contingency upside should Hill go down.Reed is a great player who’s recorded the second-best RotoViz). Diggs is now out for the year with an ACL tear, and Tank Dell continues to look like a different player returning from a broken leg; Dell commanded #86 in yards per route run (1.10) this season.
C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans
Dobbins wouldn’t be the first RB to flash for a couple of games returning from Achilles surgery only to fade afterward (James Robinson was the latest example). But that’s pure speculation, and Dobbins’ role has remained elite; he saw season-highs in snap share (81%) and targets (seven) last week. Kimani Vidal does loom as an alternative now though.Reed has averaged just 3.5 targets over the last two games, and his route participation (61%) dropped below Romeo Doubs (93%) and Christian Watson (79%) last week. He’s also gained zero yards rushing over the past three games. Reed remains the WR14 in fantasy points per game this season, but he’s the WR53 in expected fantasy points, just barely ahead of now-healthy teammate Dontayvion Wicks (WR56). Reed ranks 42nd in targets (41) and 50th in target share (17.6%). He’s seen just four targets inside the red zone this season.But a lack of volume (and the possibility of Love missing another game) makes Reed more of a mid-low WR2 moving forward.
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