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Is Justin Jefferson Secretly Sabotaging His Own 2025 Season?

Is Justin Jefferson Secretly Sabotaging His Own 2025 Season?

His burn percentage has been rated above average since entering the league in 2020, though only slightly in more recent years, while his burn yards per target, big-play percentage and catch rating have been above average but not elite.

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In 2025, however, Jefferson has had an eye-opening collapse in several categories. He’s on pace to have career lows in burn rate, burn yards per target, open rate and big-play percentage.

All four marks are also well below the 2025 NFL average for burn rate (58.2%), burn yards per target (10.49), open rate (70.0%) and big-play percentage (29.3%). A look at the data alone would lead one to believe this is a depth piece in a WR room, not a four-time Pro Bowl pick.

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