Is Justin Jefferson Secretly Sabotaging His Own 2025 Season?
Open rate measures how often a pass catcher is open on throws in which he’s the targeted receiver. So Jefferson’s low rate can mean either he’s getting open less, the QB is force-feeding him the ball, and/or he’s the type of player who is elite at catching 50-50 balls, making him “open” even when he’s not really open.
But of the bottom 15 WRs in open percentage, Jefferson is also tied for the fewest touchdown burns (two), has the fewest burn yards per target (9.09), and owns the fourth-worst burn percentage (51.4) and big-play percentage (26.0). Big-play percentage is a weighted formula that shows how often a receiver generates “big plays” (burns of at least 20 yards or TD burns).
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