Men’s Basketball Conference Tournaments: Which Dark Horse Will Secure a Shocking NCAA Bid This Week?
As an example, a team with a TRACR rating of 20 is projected to outscore an average team by .20 points per possession (20 divided by 100) in a game. If the game had 70 possessions, then that team would be expected to outscore the average team by 0.2*70=14 points.
Each of the conference tournaments is ranked by the highest probability of winning.
American Conference
- 1. South Florida (41.2%)
- 2. Tulsa (31.8%)
- 3. Wichita State (17.5%)
- 4. UAB (5.9%)
- 5. Florida Atlantic (1.5%)
- 6. North Texas (1.0%)
- 7. Memphis (0.6%)
- 8. Charlotte (0.4%)
- 9. Temple (0.1%)
- 10. Tulane (<0.01%)
South Florida enters the American Athletic Conference Tournament as the team to beat after finishing first in the regular season standings at 15-3. The Bulls have five players who average double-figure points, with Izaiyah Nelson and Joseph Pinion also ranking in the conference’s top five of WAR.
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