MLB Shocker: Underdogs Set to Dominate Monday’s Divisional Doubleheader—Don’t Miss the Expert Picks!
The other reasons are that Milwaukee’s bullpen is better across every meaningful metric (WAR, ERA, K-BB%, HR%, etc), and it’s more well-rested. Chicago has a better lineup, but the Brewers are tied for 10th in hitting WAR, per FanGraphs. Either way, relief pitching is more important than starting pitching nowadays, and, regardless, Milwaukee has an edge in both.Â
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I’m sheepishly following the line movement. Pinnacle Sportsbook, a “market-making” sportsbook, opened the A’s as +114 ‘dogs, and they are down to +105 at the time of writing. Since Pinnacle is offshore, I have to bet the best available price at FanDuel. This defies basic logic, and it has to be sharp money because the public doesn’t move odds in regular-season MLB games.Â
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