NLDS Showdown: Can the Cubs Defy Odds and Silence the Brewers in Game 4?
Here we are, folks — the Chicago Cubs managed to claw their way back into this NLDS series with a tight 4-3 victory over the Milwaukee Brewers, thanks in large part to a commanding four-run explosion right out of the gates in the first inning. Pete Crow-Armstrong delivered a crucial two-run single that electrified the crowd and forced an early exit for Brewers’ starter Quinn Priester. Add to that doubles from Kyle Tucker and Nico Hoerner, and you’ve got a recipe for a nail-biter. Milwaukee’s Jake Bauers hit a solo home run, but it just wasn’t enough to stem the tide.
Neither squad’s rolled out the starting pitcher for Game 4 yet, but the speculation is sizzling. For Milwaukee, Freddy Peralta—their go-to ace—looms as the likely choice, though he’d be stepping on the mound after just four days’ rest, a shortcut he’s taken a dozen times already this season. Alternatively, the Brewers might lean on their bullpen, which, apart from Hoerner’s homer in Game 1, has been rock-solid, not surrendering a single run this series.
The Cubs’ options mirror this dilemma: Matthew Boyd could start on short rest, but his early exit in Game 1 surely gives pause. Bullpen games featuring arms like Aaron Civale or Ben Brown have shown promising shutout performances recently, signaling a tactical choice for Chicago.
Before this piece hits your screen, management may have revealed the pitching matchups, but these betting and strategic angles paint the clearest picture so far. Now, let’s break down the numbers behind Game 4 and provide you with every ounce of insight — from where to catch the pitch, live odds, trending player stats, and, naturally, our picks and predictions crafted by our expert staff paired with proprietary modeling tools.
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The Chicago Cubs rode a four run first inning to a 4-3 win over the Milwaukee Brewers to stay alive and force a Game 4 today. Pete Crow-Armstrong’s two-run single was the big blow in that first inning as the Cubs jumped on Quinn Priester who was sent to the showers before the inning ended. Kyle Tucker and Nico Hoerner each had two hits for the Cubs. Jake Bauers went yard for Milwaukee to provide the final difference.
Neither team has announced who will start Game 4 for them later today.
It is logical for the Brewers to tap their ace, Freddy Peralta. He went 5.1 innings in Game 1 and was good, but he’d be starting on just four days rest, something he did 12 times this season. The other option is a bullpen game. The reason that is appealing is that other than a Nico Hoerner home run in the Brewers’ Game 1 blowout, the Milwaukee pen has not allowed a run in this series.
The Cubs also seem to have two options. They could hand the ball to Matthew Boyd who, like Peralta, would be starting on four days’ rest OR they could go with a bullpen game and start someone like Aaron Civale or Ben Brown. Boyd did not make it out of the first inning of Game 1. Civale went 4.1 innings in relief that afternoon without allowing a run. Brown also pitched in the series opener throwing two shutout innings.
By the time you read this each side may have announced who will step to the mound to start Game 4, but those are your obvious options with a little recent history on all.
Lets dive a little further into Game 4 and look at the numbers produced in this series.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch the first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.
Game details & how to watch Brewers at Cubs – NLDS Game 4
- Date: Thursday, October 9, 2025
- Time: 9:08PM EST
- Site: Wrigley Field
- City: Chicago, IL
- Network/Streaming: TBS, truTV
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
Odds for NLDS Game 4 – Brewers at Cubs
The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Milwaukee Brewers (-127), Chicago Cubs (+104)
- Spread: Brewers -1.5 (+139)
- Total: 7.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Brewers at Cubs
- Pitching matchup for October 9, 2025: TBD vs. TBD
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Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Brewers at Cubs – NLDS Game 4
- If Matthew Boyd gets the nod, know that William Contreras is hitting .500 (5-10) with 1 HR against him in his career
- Know that Andrew Vaughn and Christian Yelich have also each gone yard against Boyd in their careers
- Michael Busch has 3 hits in 19 career ABs against Freddy Peralta…and each of the 3 has been a home run
- As a team over the course of their careers, the Cubs are hitting a collective .161 (32-199) against Peralta
- Ian Happ is 3-35 (.086) against Peralta, but 2 of the 3 hits have been HRs
- Kyle Tucker is 5-13 (.385) in his career against Peralta
If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s Game 4 between the Brewers and the Cubs
Rotoworld Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday’s game between the Brewers and the Cubs:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Milwaukee Brewers at +1.5.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 7.0.
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)
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