Pacers vs. Thunder Game 3: Shocking Predictions and Must-Know Bets Set to Upend June 11 Showdown

Wednesday night’s set to light up with some serious hardwood drama as the Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) and Indiana Pacers (50-32) lock horns in Game 3 of the NBA Finals at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis. After the Thunder’s dominant 123-107 blitz in Game 2—shaped by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 34-point masterpiece and boosted by Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren’s combined 34 points—the series stands dead-even at one apiece. The Pacers, who saw every starter hit double figures in that last bout, will have to dig deeper if they want to tilt the scales on home turf. Tyrese Haliburton dropped 17 points and handed out six assists, while Pascal Siakam grabbed a team-high seven boards, but can they turn that into a spark that upends Oklahoma City’s rhythm? Ahead, I lay out everything you need—tipoff times, odds, player stats, and our sharpest picks from analytics to expert intuition—so you’re ready, whether you’re binge-watching or live-betting this epic tussle. LEARN MORE

On Wednesday, June 11, the Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) and Indiana Pacers (50-32) are all set to square off from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis for Game 3 of the NBA Finals.If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:Want to know which sportsbook is offering the best lines for every game on the NBA calendar? Check out the NBC Sports’ Live Odds tool to get all the latest updated info from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM & more!

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Game details & how to watch Thunder vs. Pacers live today

• Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025
• Time: 8:30PM EST
• Site: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• City: Indianapolis, IN
• Network/Streaming: ESPN / ABC

The value on Williams and Nembhard is worth betting and so is McConnell after Haliburton shows signs of an injury or some pain in the post-game presser of Game 2.

Game odds for Thunder vs. Pacers

Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day NBA schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game.

• Odds: Thunder (-218), Pacers (+180)
• Spread: Thunder -5.5
• Over/Under: 228.5 points

Listen to the Rotoworld Basketball Show for the latest fantasy player news, waiver claims, roster advice and more from our experts all season long. Click here or download it wherever you get your podcasts.That gives the Thunder an implied team point total of 116.5, and the Pacers 111.5.

Expert picks & predictions for Wednesday’s Thunder vs. Pacers game

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes the value on long shots in the series assist leader market:

Oklahoma City rolled Indiana in Game 2, 123-107 behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander‘s 34 points, plus 34 more from Jalen Williams (19) and Chet Holmgren (15).Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions pagefrom NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today’s calendar!This is a five-player race with Tyrese Haliburton (-200) leading he charge at 12 assists. Behind him with 11 is Williams (+1300) and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (+155). With 10 assists is Andrew Nembhard (+5000) and T.J. McConnell (+7500). Tyrese Haliburton led the Pacers with 17 points and 6 assists, while Pascal Siakam led Indiana in rebounding with 7 boards.The latest odds as of Wednesday:
The series heads back to Indiana tied at 1-1 and the Pacers will need more than an all-around effort from its starting five after every starter scored in double-figures for Game 2. “As someone who has a Jalen Williams ticket at +6500 odds, I am pulling for him as he is +1300 to +2000 at most markets for the NBA Finals series assist leader.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Thunder & Pacers game:

• Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
• Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Oklahoma City Thunder at -5.
• Total: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 228.5.

If Haliburton misses anytime, then there is value on Nembhard and McConnell in this market, so I think taking anyone but Haliburton or SGA is the smart move.”

Important stats, trends & insights to know ahead of Thunder vs. Pacers on Wednesday

• Oklahoma City is 1-2 on the ML and 2-1 ATS in Game 3’s this postseason
• Indiana is 0-3 on the ML and ATS in Game 3’s this postseason
• The O/U is 1-1 in the series so far
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander‘s 72 points is the most through a players first two NBA Finals games in history
• Isaiah Hartenstein and Pascal Siakam are tied for the series lead in rebounds (17) and are +140 and +145 to finish as the leader
• Aaron Nesmith leads the series in three-pointers made (7) and is +135 to finish as the leader
• Andrew Nembhard leads the series in assists (14) and is +5000 to finish as the leader

– Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
– Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
– Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
– Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.