Pacers vs. Thunder Game 5: Shocking Upset Predictions and Must-Know Betting Secrets Revealed!

Friday night’s NBA Finals pulse-throbber had the Oklahoma City Thunder snapping a long drought on the road—they hammered out a 111-104 victory against the Indiana Pacers, finally covering the spread away from home after a torturous 1-8 run in the 2025 playoffs . Meanwhile, their fortress at home remains a beast: an 8-3 record against the spread that’s been tougher than nails for opponents to crack. Coming in as staggering -700 favorites, the Thunder’s reign looked like a foregone conclusion, yet here we are—neck and neck at 2-2, the tension so thick you could cut it with a knife. Despite the tug-of-war, BetMGM still tags Oklahoma City as monstrous -625 favorites to close out the series, with two more games at their den, while Indiana claws back as a +450 underdog. With Game 5 looming and the Thunder chalked up as a 9.5-point favorite—total points quoted at 224.5—there’s no shortage of drama and strategy unfolding on the hardwood. So, what’s the smart bet? Sports handicapper Michael Fiddle throws his hat in the ring favoring the Thunder moneyline at -405, pointing to their punishing home dominance—9-2 with a +236 point margin over 11 games—and a savvy late-game playstyle from Indiana that makes the spread a dicey proposition. Trust me, the intrigue is just heating up. LEARN MORE

Best bet: Thunder ML -405Oklahoma City came into the NBA Finals as huge -700 favorites at BetMGM, and it’s shocking the series is tied 2-2 and has been as competitive as it’s been. But even with the series knotted up, Oklahoma City is still an overwhelming -625 favorite to win the series at BetMGM with two potential home games remaining. Indiana is a +450 underdog.Advertisement

Advertisement

Yahoo Sports asked handicapper Michael Fiddle for his thoughts on Game 5 of the Finals and a best bet:AdvertisementFiddle: “I like Oklahoma City on the moneyline here at -405. This is the basement price for OKC correlated to -9.5, as the line closed higher than this for both Game 1 and Game 2 with late action on the Thunder. I think [that late action] comes again and this closes around -415 or -420 consensus price, [so it’s] worth it to be ahead.