Shocking Twist: Betting Odds Outshine Expert Predictions in 2025 NFL Draft
The biggest surprise of the first round was the Chicago Bears passing on Penn State TE Tyler Warren (+350) to draft Michigan TE Colston Loveland 10th. Warren closed as a -450 favorite to be the first tight end selected in the 2025 NFL Draft. I didn’t see anyone mock Loveland ahead of Warren among the 20 mock drafts I read before Thursday.ÂÂ
Look, as someone who bets sports daily, I’ve trusted sportsbook odds for games, futures, player awards, etc. more than the so-called “experts” for years. That said, the movement of NFL draft odds is usually due to people betting stuff (aka “price speculation”) following an insider’s report or a popular analyst’s mock draft. But, this is a great reminder that “money talks and bullsh*t walks”.ÂÂ
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