Shockwaves at the Final Four: How UConn’s Unthinkable Strategy Toppled Illinois in 2026

Shockwaves at the Final Four: How UConn's Unthinkable Strategy Toppled Illinois in 2026

The Illinois Fighting Illini and UConn Huskies meet in a rematch from the regular season at Lucas Oil Stadium on Saturday in the 2026 Final Four. Connecticut closed as -4.5 favorites in a 74-61 win over Illinois back in November at Madison Square Garden, which college basketball analyst Ken Pom would more accurately call a “semi-home” game for the Huskies.

Every year, UConn plays St. John’s and the Big East Tournament at MSG, and Huskies fans swarm “The World’s Most Famous Arena.” Even so, UConn should get only a 2.5-to-3.0-point bump, at most, for that game at MSG, considering it wasn’t actually in Connecticut, and KenPom gives the Huskies 3.5 points for a true home-court edge.

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