The Shocking Truth Behind the Dodgers’ 2025 World Series Hopes—And Why They Could Crumble Before it Starts
It must be said that the projections are inherently conservative in these estimates. The TRACR model (Team Rating Adjusted for Competition and Roster) calculates an expected run differential per 27 outs, then simulates the schedule. Anyone who has ever run sims on a video game can attest to what happens when you ask an unthinking machine to consider hypothetical realities: A great many buck your expectations.
Baseball is particularly ripe for fluctuation thanks to the bedrock rules of the game. Every hitter in the lineup must bat in sequential order. The winning team must acquire all 27 of those outs to secure victory, no matter how it strains their pitching staff.
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