The Surprising Edge UConn Holds Over Michigan That Could Shake the 2026 NCAA Final
Even though I agree with Michigan being favored in this game, I disagree with the market about how much. The Wolverines were -5.5 favorites over Connecticut on the hypothetical line for the national championship entering the Final Four. That’s just too big an overreaction to Michigan stomping Arizona. Keep in mind, UConn covered vs. Illinois and led 88% of the game.Â
Also, going back to the Styles Make Fights thing, I have more faith in the Huskies controlling the tempo. These teams have nearly identical offensive turnover rates (TOV%), but Connecticut ranks 104th in defensive TOV%, while Michigan ranks 277th, per Ken Pom. High-level basketball is a “battle for possessions,” which favors the Huskies.Â
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