The Surprising Edge UConn Holds Over Michigan That Could Shake the 2026 NCAA Final
Plus, UConn defends the 3-point line better. Both have a 30.5% defensive 3-point shooting percentage, but Connecticut ranks 84th nationally in defensive 3-point-attempt rate (3PAr) and the Wolverines are 273rd. Defensive 3PAr is more predictive than actual 3-point shooting percentages, and the Huskies can run their sets because Michigan doesn’t play aggressive on-ball defense.
Lastly, UConn big Tarris Reed has been the best player in the NCAA tourney, and his interior presence will get open looks for his teammates Monday. Reed has the highest usage rate on Connecticut, and he is surrounded by sharpshooters. So, I’m literally betting on the Huskies to cover the spread because they will get more possessions and win the 3-point battle.Â
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